Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Damian Jackman's avatar

Love the blog Arthur! Having spent the last 20 years working on hydro and wind projects in Scotland it's fair to say my geographical reference points are more often substation and windfarm names than towns and cities :-)

It's instructive to see that 2013 ETYS Power Flow map bravely forecasting the East coast HVDC bootstrap being in operation by 2022 when it's now uncertain it may even be in service by 2029. I think someone should look at why NGESO's NOA process seems to have so comprehensively failed as a tool to justify *when* to spend on new transmission assets. It's theory at the time was rational; ie delay spending on new projects which are not needed immediately but it seems to have got lost in its attempt to be so rational and we now have ludicrous constraint costs. The rapid fall in the cost of renewables seems partly to be blame, with the NESO consistently underestimating how quickly more renewables (especially embedded, rooftop / behind the meter) would be added.

Expand full comment

No posts